Wednesday, March 29, 2017

French Presidential Election Soon


For John, BLUFThis could be bigger than the election of Mr Donald Trump.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:
Presidential election is likely to pit nationalist Le Pen against globalist Macron
The Source is The Wall Street Journal and the Reporter is Mr Greg Ip, on 29 March 2017.

Following is the lede plus one.  Note that the rest of the article is behind a pay wall at this point.

In France as in most of the West, politics has long been dominated by a left wing and a right wing party.  This year an earthquake is in the making:  If current polls are borne out, neither the left-wing Socialists nor right-wing Republicans will make it past the first round of the presidential election in April.

Instead, two parties that have never held power will proceed to May’s runoff.  And both agree their contest isn’t over traditional issues of right and left, such as taxes and spending.  Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Front, says it’s between “globalists and patriots” or, as supporters of Emmanuel Macron, leader of the upstart En Marche (“Forward”) put it, “open and closed.”

The election in France is Sunday, 23 April, with a runoff on 7 May.

Regards  —  Cliff

  Note the "runoff".  For my friends who wish to do away with the Electoral College and go direct election, if we are to truly sense the mind of the voters we need a runoff election.  Otherwise one runs a very high risk of having a minority President.  That isn't a good thing.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Local Elections / Local Candidates


For John, BLUFAnd get on City Life.  Nothing to see here; just move along.



You Should Run


Not that I want to see any of my friends defeated, but there are seats to be contested on the :
  • City Council (9 Seats)
  • Lowell School Committee(6 Seats)
  • Greater Lowell Technical High School School Committee (Who knows?)
If you need help or encouragement, I am willing to pitch in for you.

I can't be your Treasurer—The City pays me a minuscule amount to be on the License Commission and thus I am excluded from that campaign office.

However, I have a current list of registered voters and I can help you sort through it.  I have it as an Excel Spreadsheet.  I also have data on who voted in previous elections.  I would be happy to sit down and share with you.

EMail me at "crkrieger" at "me" dot "com".

And, there is help to be had from the Elections Office, in the Southwest corner of the basement of City Hall.  Nice people, happy to help.

If you are wondering about financial statements, here is our local City web page.

Get in the swim!

UPDATE:  There are no seats open for GLTHS School Committee this election cycle.

Regards  —  Cliff

  This local governmental organization is moving to the State Ballot and will appear in 2018.  This is due to the new and convoluted way GLTHS candidates will run and be elected.  More in 2018.

Sunday, March 26, 2017

The Will of the People


For John, BLUFThis myth of the Majority misses the very large segment that didn't vote and wishes Washington would just get on with it.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




My Middle Brother, Lance, wrote the following this morning:
I just think we should hold off on Supreme Court appointments until we can determine what the will of the people was, since we know what the majority of the people wanted, it's just a matter of determining if Russsian Trump involvement, if there was any thing that influenced something less than 200,000 in a handful of districts.
But, of course, we DON'T know what the majority of the People want.  Mrs Clinton got only 48.18% of the vote and Mr Trump got only 46.09%.  That leaves a little under 6% for other views.  If you want a majority you need to kill the Electoral College and substitute a runoff between the two top vote getters, like in France.

So, for Lance, and Ms Jennifer Palmieri, Mrs Clinton's Campaign Communications Director, we will have to wait for 20 January 2021, when someone might have won a majority of the Presidential ballots.  As happened in 1988, 2004, 2008 and 2012.

In the mean time, the Democrats are going to push the "illegitimate" meme.

And Senator Mitch McConnell will be searching the Senate Majority Leader's desk to see where his predecessor, Harry Reid, left the nuclear trigger.

The up side of this (the coming collapse of the PP & ACA Excepted), is that Washington will not be coming up with new ideas to restrict our personal and economic freedom.

Regards  —  Cliff

  "No man's life, liberty, or property are safe while the legislature is in session."  (Mark Twain)

Sen Warren on Pres Trump and Health Care


For John, BLUFShrill.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




This is from The Boston Herald and Reporter Brian Dowling, from Saturday, 25March 2017.

Here is the lede plus one:

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren said President Trump can’t simply place the troubled future of Obamacare at Democrats’ feet after he sought to sabotage its success and “actively worked” to make it “fail” from his first days in the Oval Office.

“Let’s be real clear:  We are not talking about if nothing is done,” Warren said.  “Donald Trump has already actively worked to try to make Obamacare fail. That has been his goal.”

This seems a little over the top, but then it is our Senior Senator.  When she isn't befuddling herself about her DNA she is being over the top about some topic.

The idea that a decrease in advertising is sabotage shows the degree to which the seven year old Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act is a failure.

And, if defeated in 2018 she probably won't go away quietly, but will hang around Cambridge and harangue us all.

Regards  —  Cliff

Going After Trump


For John, BLUFThis is terrible.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




This is from The Wash Post and Jennifer Palmieri, Communications Director for Ms Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign.  The dateline is 24 March 2017. Here is how Ms Palmieri wraps it up:
The possibility of collusion between Trump’s allies and Russian intelligence is much more serious than Watergate. It is a constitutional crisis. It represents a violation of our republic’s most sacred trust.

The worst part about our lackluster collective response to Russia’s interference is that it represents exactly what the Russians were hoping to produce: apathy. Their goal, in addition to installing a president sympathetic to their views, was to undermine Americans’ belief in our democracy. For Americans to think that none of this really matters, that it’s all a game. That’s how they truly erode U.S. moral authority and strength over the long term. It’s what they have sought to do to European adversaries for many years, and now they have brought this seed of destruction here.

We all have a role to play in stopping it. Each of us should be judged by how we respond at this moment when the most fundamental precept of our democracy has been violated.

"…much more serious than Watergate."

That is a serious charge.  And, in the OpEd Ms Palmieri states that Congress should not be acting on President Trump's program until this is all cleared up.  Will it ever be all cleared up or will it be like the shooter on the grassy knoll?

Certain (all?) Democrats want to stop the Government until they can jettison the results of the last election.  Here is a question.  If the election of President Trump was illegitimate, why weren't the elections of Republican Senators and Representatives also illegitimate?  They were carried along on the same wave of change as President Trump.

If all is illegitimate, then we need a new election, for which we have no precedent.  What would Ms Palmieri propose?  What would Ms Nancy Pelosi propose?

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer?  Senator E Warren?  Ms Clinton?

Most likely there is no feasible plan.  So, we fall back on impeachment.  But, one would think that precedent would have the Democrats crying to replace Vice President Mike Pence before they went for the impeachment of President Trump?  After all, why would Democrats wish to replace a GOP oriented Progressive with a true Conservative.

If Pence went, who would President Trump nominate to replace him and who would Congress approve?

That probably leaves us Speaker Paul Ryan fleeting up to be the President.

Has anyone gamed this out?

And see my previous post.

Regards  —  Cliff

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Presidential Succession


For John, BLUFAll theoretical stuff for George to teach his students.  Nothing to see here; just move along.



Presidential Line of Succession


I have friends, and at least one relative, who can't wait for Mr Trump to leave office, immediately, if not sooner.  And, of course, there are those Democrats who are not only passionately wishing for it, but actively working for it— People like Rep John Lewis and Rep Maxine Waters and Rep Nancy Pelosi.  Then there are the wafflers, like Sen E Warren.  They want to give a full throttle "YES" to the idea but their common sense keeps pulling them back.

Here, via Wikipedia is the current order of succession:

No.OfficeCurrent officer
1Vice PresidentMike Pence (R)
2Speaker of the House of RepresentativesPaul Ryan (R)
3President pro tempore of the SenateOrrin Hatch (R)
4Secretary of StateRex Tillerson (R)
5Secretary of the TreasurySteven Mnuchin (R)
6Secretary of DefenseJames Mattis (I)
7Attorney GeneralJeff Sessions (R)
8Secretary of the InteriorRyan Zinke (R)
Secretary of AgricultureMike Young (D)[a]
9Secretary of CommerceWilbur Ross (R)
Secretary of LaborEd Hugler (I)[a]
10Secretary of Health and Human ServicesTom Price (R)
11Secretary of Housing and Urban DevelopmentBen Carson (R)
Secretary of TransportationElaine Chao (R)[b]
12Secretary of EnergyRick Perry (R)
13Secretary of EducationBetsy DeVos (R)
14Secretary of Veterans AffairsDavid Shulkin (I)
15Secretary of Homeland SecurityJohn F. Kelly (I)

[a]  This listing assumes that only acting officers whose prior appointment required Senate confirmation are eligible for the line of succession.

[b]  Not a natural-born citizen (acquired U.S. citizenship by naturalization) and thus ineligible for the Presidency.

The list does raise questions, such as how did a foreigner get on the Cabinet, given that President Trump is proclaimed by the Media to be such a nativist?

As I pointed out to my Brother, the sign the Democrats are going to actually make a run at President Trump will be an effort to force Vice President Pence to resign.  That is how they did it last time.  And, it will give time to get someone else brought in as Vice President under the Twenty-fifth Amendment, Section 2.

Isn't there a TV Show about the kind of issue, Designated Survivor, or some such.  There is apparently a whole raft of fictional considerations of the issue of Presidential Succession.

Regards  —  Cliff

  Let's face it.  While President Trump is a New York City Progressive with Libertarian/Conservative leanings, Vice President Mike Pence is a real conservative and likely to act like one, bringing his talents in politics and government to bear on the problems at hand, thus making it even more difficult for the Democrats to achieve their goals.  And, a President Pence might point out the Antonio Gramsci like progress of the Democrats.

There Just Might Be The Votes for Judge Gorsuch


For John, BLUFNotwithstanding the "Party Hats" canard, sometimes the Congress Critter do worry about the voters.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




As in Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch.

This is an opinion piece, in Bloomberg, by long time Reporter Al Hunt.  The dateline is 24 March 2017.

Worth looking at to consider the complicated way elections work.  Think 2018, when the Democrats have a lot of Senate Seats open.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

  Not a problem here in the Commonwealth, where Waffle Warren is sure to float to victory.